Senate adjourns until Tuesday as shutdown stalemate deepens; military pay at risk with Monday payroll lock
As the Senate adjourned for the Columbus Day recess and will return Tuesday, lawmakers remain deadlocked after multiple failed votes over a short-term continuing resolution — Democrats demanding an extension of enhanced ACA premium tax credits and Republicans pushing a clean stopgap to Nov. 21. With a Monday payroll lock ahead of the Oct. 15 military payday, service members risk missing pay unless Congress acts (the White House says DoD has identified funds to cover pay), and House leaders have so far refused to bring the chamber back for a standalone military‑pay vote.
📌 Key Facts
- The federal government shutdown continued into its 13th day (as of Oct. 13, 2025) after the Senate repeatedly failed (seven+ times) to advance the House short‑term continuing resolution.
- The standoff centers on Democrats demanding an extension of enhanced Affordable Care Act premium tax credits while Republicans insist the government reopen first and are pushing a short‑term stopgap to Nov. 21; CBO and KFF estimates warn the change could cost roughly $350 billion over 10 years, cause average marketplace premiums to spike (KFF ~114% in some analyses), affect about 24 million marketplace enrollees, and potentially leave millions uninsured.
- The Senate adjourned for the Columbus Day recess and will not be in session Monday, creating a payroll‑lock timing risk (Oct. 13) that could jeopardize the Oct. 15 military payday and earlier staff pay dates unless Congress acts or an alternate funding path is used.
- President Trump and the White House publicly blamed Democrats for the shutdown, said they would negotiate after reopening, and directed the Department of Defense to use "all available funds" (the administration says it has identified funds) to try to ensure troops are paid despite the lapse.
- House Speaker Mike Johnson refused to bring the House back for a standalone military‑pay vote, framing responsibility onto Senate Democrats; however, pressure is building inside the GOP (about 150 co‑sponsors on Rep. Jennifer Kiggans’ military‑pay bill, public breaks from figures like Rep. Elise Stefanik and letters from House GOP veterans) to guarantee troop pay.
- Senate GOP leaders rejected changing filibuster rules to force a vote, while informal bipartisan talks and concrete proposals (e.g., options from Sens. Murkowski, Rounds, Collins) have been discussed but formal negotiations remain stalled.
- The shutdown’s operational impacts are mounting: federal workers missed paychecks (first week without pay by day 13), air‑traffic controllers and other critical personnel have worked without pay (creating delays), and insurers face timing pressures as they finalize premiums ahead of open enrollment beginning Nov. 1.
- Partisan messaging and political pressure escalated: Democrats held caucus meetings and launched targeted ad buys blaming vulnerable Republicans, while GOP accusations that Democrats are seeking to restore federally funded benefits to undocumented immigrants were disputed by nonpartisan experts and analyses showing Medicaid and ACA premium tax credits are limited to lawfully present immigrants (with some state exceptions).
📚 Contextual Background
- A continuing resolution (CR) is a short-term funding measure used to keep the federal government open temporarily while Congress completes the appropriations process.
- Furloughed federal employees typically return to work and receive back pay once Congress resolves a government shutdown.
📊 Analysis & Commentary (3)
"A Republican opinion piece argues that House Democrats are weaponizing a government shutdown for progressive policy goals instead of supporting a GOP-passed clean continuing resolution to keep essential services open, urging Democrats to vote to avert the lapse."
"A political‑economy deep dive arguing the current shutdown is produced by three underlying contradictions — between policy goals and political incentives, between chamber rules and governance needs, and between public messaging and accountability — rather than by a single bill, and that both parties’ incentives make compromise unlikely unless the structural tensions are addressed."
"Karl Rove’s short opinion criticizes the Trump White House’s handling of the federal shutdown—highlighting contradictory messaging (Trump claiming talks while aides/Schumer deny them) and arguing the core problem is the president’s lack of focus and management."
đź“° Sources (39)
- House Speaker Mike Johnson warned the U.S. is “barreling toward one of the longest shutdowns” in history.
- It is the 13th day of the shutdown, and federal workers are now in their first week without a paycheck.
- President Trump directed DoD to use "all available funds" so U.S. troops are paid on Oct. 15 despite the shutdown.
- The White House says it has "identified funds" for troop pay; CBO has said mandatory funding from the 2025 reconciliation act could legally be used.
- Action likely removes a key pressure point (missed military pay) that could have forced faster congressional action to end the shutdown.
- House GOP military veterans sent a Saturday letter to Senate Democratic veterans urging them to back the House-passed Sept. 19 continuing resolution to avoid interrupting troop pay.
- The letter asserts the CR has no cuts, no policy riders, and would keep the government open while ensuring uninterrupted military pay.
- Fox reports the Senate has rejected the House CR seven times and would need to pass it by Monday, Oct. 13, for pay to go out on Oct. 15; Monday’s federal holiday likely pushes any Senate vote to Tuesday.
- Speaker Mike Johnson told CBS there is "no scenario" right now in which the House returns before the Senate passes the GOP seven‑week stopgap.
- House has been kept out of session since Sept. 19, with votes canceled on Sept. 29–30 and again on Oct. 7; next planned return Oct. 14.
- Pressure is mounting for a standalone military pay bill: Rep. Jennifer Kiggans’ measure to pay troops, DoD civilians and contractors during the lapse has roughly 150 co‑sponsors.
- Rep. Elise Stefanik publicly broke with GOP leadership and demanded a floor vote on the Kiggans bill.
- CBS reiterates that the next military payday is Oct. 15 and is now highly likely to be missed if no deal; air‑traffic controller shortages have produced delays, with controllers working without pay but expected to receive back pay after reopening.
- Quiet Senate talks include concrete GOP proposals: Sen. Lisa Murkowski’s idea to keep ACA subsidies for two years with changes; a similar approach from Sen. Mike Rounds; and a six-point plan from Sen. Susan Collins shared with leadership.
- Sen. Markwayne Mullin said, "We’re making progress," signaling movement in negotiations even as Democrats continue to block the House-passed bill.
- Senate will leave town Friday and return Tuesday after Columbus Day, foregoing further CR votes this week.
- Senate advanced the $925 billion 2026 NDAA in late‑night votes before adjourning.
- Military pay is now at heightened risk because payroll must be locked on Monday and the Senate will not be in session.
- Only three Democratic‑caucus senators have consistently broken with their party on the GOP CR so far.
- Republicans are pushing a short‑term CR to Nov. 21; Democrats say no reopening without a deal on enhanced ACA premium tax credits.
- Quotes from Sens. Susan Collins, Markwayne Mullin and Shelley Moore Capito outlining positions and consequences.
- Reports that Senate GOP leaders are not pursuing a 'nuclear option' on the filibuster amid the standoff.
- Quotes Thune and others framing OMB actions as part of broader pressure while talks continue.
- John Thune says a Senate vote to extend ACA premium subsidies is possible, but only after the government reopens.
- Frames the offer as an 'off-ramp' to Democrats while confirming formal negotiations are currently at a standstill on day nine of the shutdown.
- Senate Democrats blocked Republicans’ plan for a seventh time as the shutdown reached day nine.
- Military payroll processing deadline is Oct. 13, after which service members could miss their first paycheck; Senate staff pay date is Oct. 20.
- Senate recess scheduled for next week is expected to be canceled, per Sen. John Thune.
- Democrats insist on addressing expiring ACA premium tax credits before reopening; Republicans say talks happen only after reopening and want reforms to the program.
- Bipartisan conversations led by Sens. Jeanne Shaheen and Mike Rounds remain informal and have not become formal negotiations.
- Shutdown has reached day 9 with the Senate convening amid a continued stalemate.
- Speaker Mike Johnson, on C‑SPAN, said he typically votes with President Trump and claimed Trump has called for the government to be open “since before this began.”
- Senate Majority Leader John Thune said there is interest on both sides in a compromise to extend some ACA subsidies but argued Democrats cannot 'take the federal government hostage.'
- Sen. Richard Blumenthal said Democrats need safeguards beyond verbal commitments, citing distrust of President Trump.
- Article highlights a White House budget office 'pocket rescission' that cut $4.9 billion in foreign aid in August, drawing criticism from Sen. Thom Tillis and concerns about executive overreach.
- Senate Republicans say they are not considering the 'nuclear option' to change filibuster rules to pass a continuing resolution.
- Direct quotes from GOP senators (Roger Marshall, Eric Schmitt, Cynthia Lummis) rejecting rule changes despite mounting frustration.
- Context that Republicans already used a rules change earlier this year for nominees but view altering the filibuster for legislation as off-limits.
- Reference to prior 2022 Democratic attempt to modify the filibuster blocked by then‑Sens. Manchin and Sinema, underscoring current procedural limits.
- The Senate is set to hold a seventh round of procedural votes midday Thursday on dueling funding measures.
- Lawmakers cite an Oct. 15 troop pay deadline as increasing pressure to resolve the standoff.
- Republicans have not gained additional Democratic support since Sept. 30; they need 60 votes to advance a bill.
- Shutdown is in its ninth day as of Oct. 9.
- Senate rejected competing funding bills again in a 54–45 vote (described as the seventh time).
- Sen. Dick Durbin warns ACA marketplace premiums could double without an extension and cites Oct. 27 as Illinois’ premium announcement date.
- Durbin says about 24 million Americans rely on ACA marketplaces and argues House recess is impeding internal GOP negotiations.
- NPR reports the latest Senate funding vote failed 54–45 on Oct. 9, 2025 (the seventh attempt).
- Sen. Dick Durbin says Illinois insurers will announce new hospitalization premiums on Oct. 27 and predicts premiums will "double" without extending ACA credits.
- Durbin alleges Speaker Mike Johnson is keeping the House in recess to prevent GOP defections on a shutdown/ACA deal.
- Article reiterates that about 24 million Americans rely on ACA marketplaces for coverage.
- Senate Democrats blocked Republicans’ sixth bid to pass a clean continuing resolution on Oct. 8, 2025, so the government remained shut.
- The article quotes Sen. Markwayne Mullin and Sen. John Thune describing GOP strategy and includes direct framing from Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer linking Democratic resistance to protection of expiring ACA premium tax credits.
- The piece notes increased White House pressure and mentions the administration weighing withholding back pay for furloughed workers as part of that pressure campaign.
- House Speaker Mike Johnson publicly ruled out bringing the House back for a standalone vote to guarantee on‑time military pay during the shutdown.
- Johnson reiterated the House had already passed a continuing resolution and put the onus on the Senate to act; he framed Democrats' calls for another vote as political theater.
- Story emphasizes the operational timing risk: Oct. 15 is the next military payday and would be the first paycheck U.S. troops miss if the shutdown continues.
- Fox reports the sixth set of Senate 'test' votes is scheduled for late morning/midday today.
- Speaker Mike Johnson indicated openness to pass a special bill to pay service members and air‑traffic controllers, but that would require the House to return to session.
- The article specifies Oct. 13 as the deadline to pay the military and air‑traffic controllers.
- A senior House GOP leadership source told Fox they doubt the House will return before the shutdown ends.
- Notes mild, informal bipartisan talks but Senator Tim Kaine described them as at an impasse; also highlights rising worries about aviation‑sector absences and farm‑payment timing.
- Senate scheduled a sixth set of procedural votes midday Wednesday after five prior attempts fell short of the 60‑vote threshold.
- Republicans continue to press a House‑passed stopgap to fund government until Nov. 21 while Democrats push an alternative that would extend ACA premium tax credits; Republicans hold 53 seats and need Democratic support.
- Report details recent vote dynamics (one to three Democrats crossed in earlier votes) and that Republicans have been unable to peel off more Democratic support in the latest attempts.
- Senate scheduled to convene at 10 a.m. ET on Oct. 7, 2025 to address the impasse.
- Democrats are demanding an extension of Affordable Care Act premium subsidies in exchange for votes to reopen the government.
- Specific political positioning: Rep. Chip Roy published a Wall Street Journal letter urging GOP not to extend subsidies; Sen. John Thune signaled Republicans might be open to extending subsidies with reforms but refuses to negotiate until the government reopens; President Trump posted that he is 'happy to work with Democrats' but demanded the government reopen first.
- Shutdown duration updated: continues into its seventh day.
- Immediate development: Senate 'failed again' to pass a funding bill (per CBS News report).
- On‑camera report from CBS News correspondent Taurean Small on Capitol Hill (video item).
+ 19 more sources